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The paradox of forward guidance 7 Aug 2013 | 11:15 pm
By saying that interest rates won’t rise until unemployment goes below 7%, Mark Carney hopes to reassure us that rates will stay low for a long time. And, so reassured, the theory is that we’ll borrow...
The rise of UKIP 16 May 2013 | 12:21 pm
The recent rise in UKIP support is bigger and longer-lasting than anything in the party’s history. Here’s a long-term view: (I’ve used ICM and Ipsos MORIbecause they both did well at predicting the 2...
