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Nearing an inflection point: Watch the USD! 26 Aug 2013 | 09:31 am
Last week I wrote that I was seeing the classic signs of a late market cycle rotation into deep cyclical stocks, which would likely coincide with a stock market rally for several weeks (see A classic ...
Is China becoming European? 21 Aug 2013 | 09:41 am
We are seeing some welcome news out of China. The plans made by the PBoC to liberalize bank deposit rates is certainly a step in the right direction to ending financial repression of the household sec...
Haunting the government from beyond the grave 19 Aug 2013 | 11:14 pm
This report from Reuters came across my desk, which I present without further comment: An anonymous half-million pound bequest to Britain has mushroomed to 350 million pounds ($546 million) since it ...
A classic late-cycle rotation 19 Aug 2013 | 10:12 am
Years ago, one of the first things that I learned when I ventured into technical analysis was sector and industry rotation. Technical (which are not necessarily economic) bull phases start with leader...
A Ken Heebner review 17 Aug 2013 | 10:53 am
One of my long-time readers recently asked about Ken Heebner's position in US long Treasury bonds. I then remembered that one of my earliest posts demonstrated a technique of mine for reverse engineer...
Is tapering panic over? 15 Aug 2013 | 10:38 am
I recently saw a Bloomberg story indicating that the risk-off trade that occurred in the wake of the Fed taper panic was getting unwound in the fixed income markets: Bonds rated CCC and lower lost 2....
Who pays for China's excesses? 12 Aug 2013 | 10:10 am
I had some feedback to last week's post entitled Market perception of China macro risk set to rise. Notwithstanding the upside surprise in Chinese exports, the bigger question is, "If China engaged in...
A new secular bull? Don't count on it! 9 Aug 2013 | 09:04 am
As the chart below shows, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, along with other the major US averages, have decisively made new all-time highs and broken out of its trading range, can we expect the launc...
Market perception of China macro risk set to rise 5 Aug 2013 | 09:43 am
The signs are unmistakable. China's economic growth rate is slowing. Notwithstanding the anomalous official July PMI number that many viewed with skepticism, economic releases, one after another, poin...
Will stocks get bad breadth? 2 Aug 2013 | 09:48 am
Ho hum, another all-time high in the popular US stock averages. With so much momentum, is it too late to chase this rally? The key short-term technical indicators that I am watching are the relative ...
