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Reshuffling The (Historical Return) Deck 27 Aug 2013 | 06:11 pm
The Global Market Index (GMI) that’s frequently cited on these digital pages is a robust benchmark for the simple reason that it holds all the major asset classes in market-value weights and shuns reb...
Q3:2013 US GDP Nowcast | 8.26.2013 26 Aug 2013 | 02:12 pm
US GDP is expected to rise 1.7% (real seasonally adjusted annual rate) in this year's third quarter, according to The Capital Spectator’s average econometric nowcast. Today's update is slightly lower ...
Book Bits | 8.24.13 24 Aug 2013 | 02:10 pm
● Made in the USA: The Rise and Retreat of American Manufacturing By Vaclav Smil Summary via publisher, MIT Press In Made in the USA, Vaclav Smil powerfully rebuts the notion that manufacturing is a...
The Top 5 Behavioral Hazards For Managing Asset Allocation 23 Aug 2013 | 07:39 pm
The technical aspects of designing and managing asset allocation are well known. If anyone’s mystified about the fundamental principles that support and promote enlightened portfolio strategy, it’s no...
Macro-Markets Risk Index | 8.23.2013 23 Aug 2013 | 04:56 pm
The US economic trend remains relatively stable in the wake of a sharp but brief decline in June, according to a markets-based profile of macro conditions. The Macro-Markets Risk Index (MMRI) closed a...
Unemployment Filings Increased Last Week, But The Trend Remains Encouraging 22 Aug 2013 | 07:26 pm
Jobless claims increased last week by 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 336,000, but this doesn’t alter the fact that new filings for unemployment benefits have been trending lower in recent months in a...
Looking Into The Future With A Rear-View Mirror 22 Aug 2013 | 04:49 pm
How do you know if the stock market (or any asset class) is overvalued and ripe for a fall? Wait a year or two and you’ll have a definitive answer. Real-time decisions, alas, are slightly more complic...
Looking For Macro Signals (And Ignoring The Noise) 21 Aug 2013 | 04:06 pm
The Big Picture’s Barry Ritholtz reminds us that most of the media frenzy that surrounds the monthly payrolls report is misplaced. “The jobs report is overrated… it’s meaningless,” he tells Yahoo Fina...
Chicago Fed: Economic Growth Remains Below Average In July 20 Aug 2013 | 07:14 pm
The US economy continued to expand in July but at a rate that’s “below its historical trend,” according to today’s update of The Chicago Fed National Activity Index. “The index’s three-month moving av...
Asset Allocation & Rebalancing Review | 20 August 2013 20 Aug 2013 | 04:36 pm
The Book of Matthew foresees that the last will be first, and the first will be last. Investors will recognize the prophecy as the restless rotation in the realm of asset classes—a concept that even t...
