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Oh Look, A Shiny Object! 15 May 2013 | 04:04 am
There is, right this moment, a man in my office having a mental breakdown. I don’t even know his name – he’s some engineering manager in a function I rarely deal with. I have no idea what caused the...
Doing Other Things 6 May 2013 | 07:54 am
About two weeks ago, I stumbled onto something that I frankly thought didn’t exist. It appears that I’ve found a pricing equation type inefficiency in a major derivative market. It’s not quite a pur...
Continual vs. Sporadic Trading Methods 27 Mar 2013 | 03:07 am
When developing trading systems, one of the first things you have to deal with is a high level decision: are you designing a method that trades most or all of the time, or only sporadically? Both app...
It’s Official – I’m a Twit?!? 21 Mar 2013 | 12:28 am
With the demise of Google Reader, it seems clear to me that the writing is on the wall for RSS as a push technology to connect people to this blog. Not that some people won’t continue using RSS, and ...
Does A Record High Dow Mean My Population Model Of Investment Pricing Is Wrong? 6 Mar 2013 | 05:06 am
If you’ve been following this blog since the beginning, you may know that I take a fairly dim view of investment. If you haven’t read the linked article, you’ll want to do so before continuing or the...
What Size Market Moves Should You Target? 27 Feb 2013 | 02:32 am
This may be joyriding in the obvious-mobile, but commissions and other fees/expenses are a big deal in trading. I pointed out a few months back that it could cost you about 1/6th of your profits in t...
A Psychological Antidote 22 Feb 2013 | 06:00 am
One of my favorite psychology ideas comes from the poker literature – specifically Mike Caro’s “threshold of misery”. Mike’s point, paraphrased, is that there’s a difference between how bad a situati...
Consider Buying Things That Will Get People Fired If You Lose 19 Feb 2013 | 02:25 am
In the wake of the economic scandals of 2008-2009 and more recent events like the JP Morgan’s “London Whale” losses the media has directed substantial scrutiny at trader compensation and the role it p...
Speculative Alternatives Updates, 6 Month Review, And Some Thoughts on Benchmarks 12 Dec 2012 | 04:21 am
Once again I’ve been horribly late in updating the speculative alternatives portfolio. Two positions have changed since I posted about it last: Nov. 26: Exit the J&J position & associated hedge Dec 3...
Futures Scalping Part 2: 21 Good Ideas 29 Nov 2012 | 11:54 pm
One thing I hope I’ve gotten across with this blog is that there are lots of ways to trade successfully. It’s not that there’s one magical formula, and once you have that formula it rains money. Rat...