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So Long, From Sabernomics 1 Jan 2011 | 04:29 am
Well folks, I’m afraid it’s come to an end. What started as an experiment nearly seven years ago became more than I anticipated. For the past seven years I’ve had a place to explore my whimsical ideas...
Happy Christmas 26 Dec 2010 | 12:00 am
Christmas Is A Time That Can’t Be Stolen, The Charlotte News, Christmas 1974. by TOM BRADBURY (1943 — 2010) It is a first requirement of good literature that it be true, and honest. Not in the sense...
What’s Wrong with Replacement-Level Valuing of Players 23 Dec 2010 | 01:34 am
In my previous post on 15 tenets of sabermetrics, my response to one tenet received the bulk of the comments. I showed that the talent of the league is distributed normally, and the assumption that th...
Freakonomics Q&A 22 Dec 2010 | 05:38 am
My answers to questions asked by Freakonomics readers about baseball economics is now posted. You can read my answers here. Thanks to Stephen Dubner for the opportunity.
Agreeing and Disagreeing with Bill James 17 Dec 2010 | 01:56 am
I have long admired Bill James and I enjoy reading his work. I remember when Doug Drinen let me borrow his collection of Abstracts, and the jealousy I felt about growing up without ever knowing of Jam...
Valuing Cliff Lee, the Mystery Team Hoax, and the Prediction Market 15 Dec 2010 | 05:04 am
Well, Cliff Lee finally signed, and it wasn’t with the favorite Texas Rangers or New York Yankees. Lee agreed to a five-year, $120 million deal to return to the Philadelphia Phillies—a “mystery team” ...
Valuing Carl Crawford and SoSH Chat 10 Dec 2010 | 01:45 am
The Boston Red Sox and Carl Crawford have agreed to a seven-year, $142 million contract. I have Crawford valued at $135 million over that timespan. Looks like I picked a good day to do a live chat at...
Defending My Defense of the Jayson Werth Deal 9 Dec 2010 | 06:10 am
Justin Bopp takes issue with my defense of the Jayson Werth contract, Rob Neyer went so far as to call it a fisking: however, I think fisking requires snark, I thought it was a polite response. I resp...
Valuing Carlos Pena 9 Dec 2010 | 01:17 am
The Chicago Cubs have signed free agent first baseman Carlos Pena to a one-year $10, million deal. Interestingly enough, that is exactly what I projected his value to be for 2011. Though the dollar es...
Defending the Jayson Werth Deal 8 Dec 2010 | 01:55 am
Yesterday, I learned that there are two crazy people in the world, Washington Nationals GM Mike Rizzo and me. Rizzo signed Jayson Werth to a seven-year, $126 million contract, and I stated that Werth ...